While most of the attention was on the first start of Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, Miami’s defense stepped up in its upset over the Rams last week. The Dolphins forced four turnovers, including a fumble they returned 78 yards for a score, to move to 4-3 overall and 5-2 against NFL Vegas lines this season. As the Week 9 NFL schedule approaches, the Dolphins face another team that has been crushing NFL point spreads, the Arizona Cardinals, who have a 5-2 mark against the number. The latest Week 9 NFL odds from William Hill list Arizona as a six-point home favorite in that game.

That’s one of several matchups between teams in the NFL playoff picture this week. How should you pick that game? And which NFL spreads are worth targeting in your Week 9 NFL bets? All of the Week 9 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 9 NFL picks now.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,600 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago.

It’s off to a strong 15-8 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 9 on an incredible 111-73 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has examined the latest Week 9 NFL odds and NFL betting lines from William Hill, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.

Top NFL predictions for Week 9

One of the top Week 9 NFL predictions the model recommends: The Buffalo Bills (+2.5) stay within the spread at home against the Seattle Seahawks. Buffalo has failed to cover in its last four straight games, but has gotten back in the win column in the past two weeks, beating the Patriots and Jets in one-score games. The model is calling for this matchup to come down to the wire as well, making Buffalo a value with the points. 

The Seahawks are dealing with a host of injuries at running back. The Bills, meanwhile, are developing an effective 1-2 punch in the backfield. Devin Singletary posted a 14-86 rushing line, while rookie Zack Moss went 14-81-2 in last week’s win over the Patriots. The model is calling for Buffalo to rush for well over 100 yards again in this matchup as the Bills keep it within the spread well over 50 percent of the time. 

Another one of the top Week 9 NFL predictions from the model: The Texans (-6.5) cover on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars. After surprising the Colts in Week 1, this season has been a struggle for Jacksonville. The Jags have dropped six straight games, with the last three losses all coming by at least 10 points. They’re 0-3 against the spread during that span as well. 

Now, Jacksonville will be without quarterback Gardner Minshew (thumb) and will turn to rookie sixth-round pick Jake Luton, who has never thrown an NFL pass. Combine that with a defense that is giving up the 31st-most points in the league (31.4) and the Jags could really struggle, even against another 1-6 squad like Houston.

The model says Luton throws for just over 200 yards and an interception, while Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson accounts for almost 350 yards and three scores as the Texans cover in more than 50 percent of simulations. The under (51.5) also has value since that hits almost 60 percent of the time.

How to make Week 9 NFL picks 

The model also has made the call on every other game on the Week 9 NFL schedule. It’s also identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard. You can only get every pick for every game here.

What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 9? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are covering in more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,600 on its top-rated NFL picks. 

NFL odds, matchups for Week 9

Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (+5.5, 50)

Seattle Seahawks at Buffalo Bills (+2.5, 54)

Denver Broncos at Atlanta Falcons (-4, 50)

Chicago Bears at Tennessee Titans (-5.5, 46.5)

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (-4, 52)

Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts (+3, 45)

Carolina Panthers at Kansas City Chiefs (-10.5 52.5)

Latest Odds:

Chiefs
-10.5

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (+6.5, 51.5)

New York Giants at Washington Football Team (-3, 41.5)

Latest Odds:

Football Team
-3

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5, 53)

Pittsburgh Steelers at Dallas Cowboys (off board)
Miami Dolphins at Arizona Cardinals (-6, 47.5)

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-5.5, 51.5)

New England Patriots at New York Jets (+7, 42.5)

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