The Miami Dolphins and the New England Patriots will face off in an AFC East clash at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Gillette Stadium. In 2019, the Patriots were 12-4 and won their 11th consecutive division title, the longest streak in NFL history. The Dolphins finished in last place in the division with a 5-11 record. 

New England is favored by 6.5 points in the latest Patriots vs. Dolphins odds from William Hill. The over-under for total points expected is set at 42. Before entering any Dolphins vs. Patriots picks, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five years ago. It also enters the 2020 NFL season on an incredible 96-65 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Patriots vs. Dolphins. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Dolphins vs. Patriots:

  • Patriots vs. Dolphins spread: Patriots -6.5
  • Patriots vs. Dolphins over-under: 42 points
  • Patriots vs. Dolphins money line: New England -300, Miami +250

Why the Dolphins can cover

The Dolphins have won two of the past three meetings between the divisional rivals. Ryan Fitzpatrick passed for 320 yards and rushed for a TD in his last meeting with New England. DeVante Parker had eight catches for 137 yards in his last matchup vs, the Patriots. Second-year receiver Preston Williams is healthy again to start the season and tight end Mike Gesicki had a TD catch the last time he faced New England. 

Miami has revamped its running attack, and will go with a complementary duo of newcomers Matt Breida and Jordan Howard.  Key defenders who will make their Dolphins debuts include Emmanuel Ogbah (5.5 sacks in 2019), Shaq Lawson (6.5) and Kyle Van Noy (6.5). 

Why the Patriots can cover

Bill Belichick has a 25-17 all-time record vs. Miami. Cam Newton makes his Patriots debut, hungry to regain respect and his place among the better quarterbacks in the league. Sony Michel has rushed for four TDs in his past three divisional games. Since 2016, James White leads all RBs in receiving TDs with 20. 

Julian Edelman is coming off his second career season with 100-plus catches and 1,000-plus receiving yards. AP Defensive Player of the Year Stephon Gilmore led the league with 20 passes defensed and tied for the lead with six interceptions. The teams split their matchups last year, with the Patriots winning the first 43-0 on the road and Miami taking the second 27-24.

How to make Patriots vs. Dolphins picks

The model has simulated Patriots vs. Dolphins 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning over on the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Dolphins vs. Patriots? And which side of the spread is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Patriots vs. Dolphins spread to jump on Sunday, all from the model that enters the 2020 NFL season on an incredible 96-65 roll.  


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