LeBron James, Anthony Davis and the Los Angeles Lakers take on James Harden, Russell Westbrook and the Houston Rockets on Saturday evening. The Lakers, holding a 3-1 series advantage, will look to advance to the Western Conference Finals with a win, while the Rockets aim to keep their hopes alive in a win-or-go-home scenario. James (groin), Davis (rib) and JaVale McGee (ankle) are listed as probable for the Lakers, with Dion Waiters (groin) listed as doubtful. Danuel House (personal) is out for the Rockets.

Tip-off in this 2020 NBA Playoffs matchup is 8 p.m. ET. The latest Lakers vs. Rockets odds from William Hill list Los Angeles as the 6.5-point favorite. The over-under for total points expected is 215.5. Before making any Rockets vs. Lakers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it’s already returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 61-33 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,500 on those picks alone. It’s also a sizzling 11-3 on top-rated picks since the NBA’s restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Rockets. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Rockets vs. Lakers:

  • Lakers vs. Rockets spread: Lakers -6.5
  • Lakers vs. Rockets over-under: 215.5 points
  • Lakers vs. Rockets money line: Lakers -270, Rockets +230
  • Los Angeles: The Lakers are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • Houston: The Rockets are 3-7 against the spread in the last 10 games

Why the Lakers can cover

The Lakers are led by the two-headed monster of James and Davis, with both operating at a high level in the postseason. Davis is averaging 29.2 points and 10.9 rebounds per game in the playoffs, with James adding 26.3 points, 10.2 rebounds and 9.0 assists per contest. Los Angeles is also receiving strong contributions from supporting pieces, with Rajon Rondo averaging 12.5 points, 7.5 assists and 2.5 steals per game in the series after returning from a lengthy injury absence. 

Defensively, the Lakers are big and physical, boasting the best defensive rebounding rate in the conference semifinals at 81.5 percent. After a disappointing Game 1 loss to the Rockets, Los Angeles is outscoring Houston by 10.1 points per 100 possessions, a dominant figure that translates to an elite net rating, even when compared to a lofty regular season baseline.

Why the Rockets can cover

Though the Rockets are struggling at the moment, Houston has plenty to rely on to turn the series around. Harden is one of the game’s most prolific offensive players, averaging 29.5 points, 7.9 assists and 5.5 rebounds per game in the playoffs, and he is capable of an explosion at any moment. From there, Houston was one of the best offensive teams in the NBA during the regular season, finishing seventh in points per possession, eighth in shooting efficiency, ninth in turnover rate, and fourth in free throw rate. 

The Rockets also found their legs, at least to some degree, in the fourth quarter of Game 4, scoring 1.25 points per possession to make things interesting in crunch time. Defensively, Houston has been effective throughout the playoffs, ranking fourth in points allowed per possession at 1.057. The Rockets are also creating turnovers at the best rate in the conference semifinals, forcing a giveaway from the Lakers on 17.1 percent of possessions. 

How to make Lakers vs. Rockets picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with Davis and Eric Gordon both projected to exceed their season-long scoring averages. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Lakers vs. Rockets? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Rockets vs. Lakers spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $5,000 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.

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