The Los Angeles Lakers put a 2-1 series lead on the line against the Houston Rockets in Game 4 on Thursday evening in the 2020 NBA Playoffs. LeBron James and Anthony Davis serve as the centerpieces for the Lakers, with James Harden and Russell Westbrook leading the way for the Rockets. From an injury standpoint, Robert Covington (head) is questionable to play for Houston, with Danuel House (personal) ruled out for Game 4. The Lakers list Davis (rib), James (calf) and JaVale McGee (ankle) as probable, with Dion Waiters (groin) listed as doubtful.

Tip-off is 7 p.m. ET at AdventHealth Arena in the Orlando bubble. William Hill lists Los Angeles as the five-point favorite in the Lakers vs. Rockets odds. The over-under for total points expected is set at 220. Before making any Rockets vs. Lakers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it’s already returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 61-33 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,500 on those picks alone. It’s also a sizzling 11-3 on top-rated picks since the NBA’s restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Rockets. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Rockets vs. Lakers:

  • Lakers vs. Rockets spread: Lakers -5
  • Lakers vs. Rockets over-under: 220 points
  • Lakers vs. Rockets money line: Lakers -215, Rockets +185
  • Los Angeles: The Lakers are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • Houston: The Rockets are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games

Why the Lakers can cover

The Lakers have been the best offensive team in the conference semifinals, scoring 1.15 points per possession against a quality Rockets defense. Los Angeles is benefitting from top-tier play from James and Davis, but the Lakers are also receiving high-end contributions from Rajon Rondo. The veteran guard is averaging 13.0 points, 7.3 assists and 2.7 steals per game, with Rondo bringing defensive intensity that he hasn’t flashed in years. 

As a team, the Lakers are also impressive on the defensive end, ranking No. 5 in the NBA Playoffs 2020 in allowing only 1.07 points per possession. The Rockets are one of the worst offensive rebounding teams in the league, grabbing fewer than 20 percent of available rebounds after missed shots in the series, and that allows a strong, physical Lakers front court to end possessions and fuel an effective transition offense. 

Why the Rockets can cover

Houston is led by an all-world force in Harden, with the NBA’s leading scorer averaging 30.4 points, 7.7 assists and 5.7 rebounds per game in the postseason. Harden leads a Rockets attack that was one of the best in the league during the regular season, with top-10 marks in effective field-goal percentage, turnover avoidance and free-throw rate. 

Defensively, Houston has been tremendous in the playoffs, ranking third in the NBA in points allowed per possession at 1.05. The Rockets were a top-four team at creating turnovers during the regular season and, in this matchup, that could be an advantage against a Lakers team that turned the ball over on 15 percent of possessions this year. 

How to make Lakers vs. Rockets picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with the simulations projecting nine total players to score in double figures. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Lakers vs. Rockets? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Rockets vs. Lakers spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $5,000 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.

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