The Los Angeles Clippers can advance to the Western Conference semifinals in the 2020 NBA Playoffs on Sunday when they take on the Dallas Mavericks in Game 6 of their first-round playoff series. The Clippers took a 3-2 series lead with a 154-111 destruction of the Mavericks on Tuesday. Kawhi Leonard and Paul George combined for 67 points in Game 5. Luka Doncic was held to 22 points for Dallas, which played without Kristaps Porzingis. Porzingis (knee) has been ruled out for the remainder of the series.

Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. ET in Orlando. William Hill lists Los Angeles as a 10-point favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points expected, is 238 in the latest Mavericks vs. Clippers odds. Before you make any Clippers vs. Mavericks picks, see the NBA predictions from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it’s already returned over $4,700 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 59-33 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,300 on those picks alone. It’s also 7-2 on top-rated picks since the NBA’s restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Clippers vs. Mavericks. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Mavericks vs. Clippers:

  • Clippers vs. Mavericks spread: Los Angeles -10
  • Clippers vs. Mavericks Over-Under: 238 points
  • Clippers vs. Mavericks moneyline: Los Angeles -600, Dallas +450
  • LAC: Kawhi Leonard ranks second in the NBA in scoring in the playoffs (32.8 points per game)
  • DAL: Luka Doncic leads the NBA in total assists (43) in the postseason

Why the Clippers can cover

Dallas will be without Porzingis for the remainder of its Round 1 series against the Clippers, which is a significant blow to the team’s hopes. In the first three games of the series, Porzingis averaged 23.7 points while shooting 52.5 percent from the field and 52.9 percent on 3-pointers. He also was grabbing 8.7 rebounds a game.

In addition, the Los Angeles offense has been elite in the playoffs. The Clippers are averaging 122.9 points per 100 possessions in the postseason. That ranks second behind only the Utah Jazz.

Why the Mavericks can cover 

Tuesday’s blowout was more of an aberration than a trend in matchups this season between the teams. Though Dallas is 2-6 against the Clippers this season, the Mavericks have lost by double digits to L.A. just three times. Prior to Game 5, the average margin of victory between the teams this season was 4.9 points.

According to advanced analytics, Dallas has the best offense in NBA history. The Mavericks averaged 115.9 points per 100 possessions during the regular season. That set the record for the best single-season NBA rating, breaking the mark set last season by the Golden State Warriors.

How to make Clippers vs. Mavericks picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with George and Leonard combining for 51 points and only one Dallas player surpassing 20 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Clippers vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread cashes well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mavericks vs. Clippers spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $4,700 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.

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