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Time to Schein: The NBA will resume the 2020 postseason on Saturday
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After three consecutive victories, the Milwaukee Bucks aim to close out the Orlando Magic in Game 5 on Saturday. The Magic stunned the Bucks in Game 1, and Steve Clifford’s team will look to avoid elimination with another spirited performance in this matchup. Injury-wise, the Magic will be without Aaron Gordon (hamstring), Jonathan Isaac (knee), Michael Carter-Williams (foot) and Mo Bamba (post-COVID) for Game 5. 

Tip-off for this 2020 NBA Playoffs matchup is 3:30 p.m. ET at AdventHealth Arena in Orlando. William Hill lists Milwaukee as the 14-point favorite in the Bucks vs. Magic odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 225.5. Before making any Magic vs. Bucks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it’s already returned over $4,700 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 59-33 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,300 on those picks alone. It’s also 7-2 on top-rated picks since the NBA’s restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Magic. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Magic vs. Bucks:

  • Bucks vs. Magic spread: Bucks -14
  • Bucks vs. Magic over-under: 225.5 points
  • Bucks vs. Magic money line: Bucks -1300, Magic +800
  • MIL: The Bucks are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • ORL: The Magic are 3-7 against the spread in the last 10 games

Why the Bucks can cover

The Bucks deploy the best defense in the NBA this season, and their strength on that end of the floor has been evident in this series. Though Orlando got off to a strong start in scoring 122 points in Game 1, Milwaukee has clamped down in the last three games, allowing 0.99 points per possession. That clip is the best in the NBA Playoffs over that small sample and, for the season, the Bucks led the league in points allowed per possession, shooting efficiency allowed and defensive rebounding. 

On the offensive end, Giannis Antetokounmpo is one of the game’s best, averaging 31.3 points and 15.8 rebounds per game in the series, and Milwaukee has other top-end options in Khris Middleton, Eric Bledsoe and Brook Lopez. As a team, the Bucks have a 61.8 true shooting percentage during the team’s three-game winning streak and, even against a normally stout Orlando defense, Milwaukee has seemingly figured out the puzzle to maximize efficiency. 

Why the Magic can cover 

Orlando is at a talent disadvantage, both in the series and for Game 5. With that said, the Magic have been effective at leveling the playing field by taking advantage of some of their own strengths. Standout big man Nikola Vucevic has been tremendous in the series, averaging 29.5 points and 10.0 rebounds per game, and his ability to spread the floor as a shooter from the center position is crucial to attack the Bucks. Orlando is also adept at avoiding turnovers, giving the ball away on only 12.9 percent of possessions during the regular season, and variance increases if the Magic can simply get shots to the rim. 

Defensively, Orlando has been solid in this series, limiting the Bucks to only 1.11 points per possession. That isn’t an elite figure, but Milwaukee’s offense is usually hyper-efficient and the Magic have forced turnovers on 16.3 percent of possessions. At this stage, that is the best defensive turnover rate in the NBA Playoffs, and it could continue in Game 5 to give Orlando some fuel for its transition offense.

How to make Bucks vs. Magic picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with Middleton and Evan Fournier projected to fall short of their season-long scoring averages. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Magic vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread cashes over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bucks vs. Magic spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $4,700 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.

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