The top-seeded Los Angeles Lakers will look to close out their Western Conference first-round series against the Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday night. The Lakers took a commanding 3-1 series lead with a 135-115 triumph on Monday as they raced out to an 18-point lead after one quarter and led by 29 at the break. Forward LeBron James had another big game, scoring 30 points, the second consecutive game scoring 30 or more. Portland received bad news when it learned it would be without point guard and top scorer Damian Lillard with a right knee strain. Lillard is averaging 30 points, eight assists and 4.3 rebounds per game.

Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET. The Lakers are 13-point favorites in the latest Blazers vs. Lakers odds from William Hill, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 222.5. Before making any Lakers vs. Blazers picks, see the NBA predictions from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it’s already returned over $4,700 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 59-33 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,300 on those picks alone. It’s also 7-2 on top-rated picks since the NBA’s restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Blazers vs. Lakers. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Lakers vs. Blazers:

  • Blazers vs. Lakers spread: Lakers -13
  • Blazers vs. Lakers over-under: 222.5 points
  • Blazers vs. Lakers money line: Blazers +700, Lakers -1100
  • POR: Was third in the NBA in 3-point percentage at 37.7
  • LAL: G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope shot a career-best 38.5 percent from 3-point range this season

Why the Lakers can cover

Los Angeles is making its first playoff appearance since 2012-13 and is looking to advance past the first round for the first time since 2011-12. James, who is averaging a triple-double in the series with 25.3 points, 10.3 rebounds and 10.3 assists, earned his first assist title (10.2 per game) this season and is one of six players in NBA history to average 25 points and 10 assists. In three regular-season games against Portland this season, he averaged 24.7 points and 11.3 assists. 

Also having a big series is Anthony Davis, who led the team in scoring this season at 26.1 points per game. He also averaged 9.3 rebounds and 3.2 assists. He is suffering from back spasms, but is expected to play in Game 5. Davis had 18 points, five rebounds, five assists and two blocks in 18 minutes in Game 4. Davis scored 28 or more points in each of the first three games, and is averaging 24.6 points and 9.2 rebounds in 24 career games against the Trail Blazers.

Why the Blazers can cover 

Portland has been hot since the restart, going 8-5, including 6-2 during the seeding round. Lillard may be out, but the Trail Blazers still have some pop in their lineup starting with guard CJ McCollum. He poured in 28 points and grabbed eight rebounds in Game 3 and averaged 22.2 points, 4.4 assists and 4.2 rebounds per game this season, including 17.3 points and 4.7 rebounds in three games against the Lakers.

Center Jusuf Nurkic recorded a double-double in Game 4 with 20 points and 13 rebounds in 27 minutes. In nine career playoff games, Nurkic is averaging 11.9 points and 9.4 rebounds. He has come to play during the postseason. In Game 1, he had 10 points and 10 rebounds in the first quarter, making him the first player to have a double-double in the first quarter of a playoff game since Shaquille O’Neal did it in 2001.

How to make Blazers vs. Lakers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total. In fact, it says Portland’s Hassan Whiteside will score three fewer points than his average, while Los Angeles will have just two players exceed 20 points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Lakers vs. Blazers? And which side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Blazers vs. Lakers spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $4,700 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.

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