Playoff positioning will be on the line on Wednesday when the Miami Heat and the Oklahoma City Thunder tangle in a seeding game at the ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex near Orlando, Fla. The Heat (44-27) can move one step closer to clinching the No. 4 seed in the Eastern Conference with a win. They are coming off a 114-92 win over Indiana. Meanwhile, the Thunder (43-27) are in the hunt for the No. 4 seed in the Western Conference. Oklahoma City enters Wednesday’s game after a 128-101 loss to the streaking Suns. 

Tip-off is at 8 p.m. ET. William Hill lists Miami as a two-point favorite while the over-under, or total number of points William Hill thinks will be scored, is 222 in the latest Heat vs. Thunder odds. Before making any Thunder vs. Heat picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it’s already returned well over $4,700 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 58-32 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,300 on those picks alone. Amazingly, it hasn’t missed a single top-rated pick (5-0) since the NBA’s restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Thunder. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Thunder vs. Heat:

  • Heat vs. Thunder spread: Miami -2
  • Heat vs. Thunder over-under: 222 points
  • Heat vs. Thunder money line: Miami -135, Oklahoma City +115
  • MIA: Duncan Robinson ranks second in the NBA in 3-pointers made (265) this season
  • OKC: Danilo Gallinari leads team in scoring (19.1 points per game)

Why the Heat can cover

Miami already has beaten the Thunder handily this season. In January the Heat scored 40 first quarter points and were never seriously threatened in a 115-108 victory at Oklahoma City. Seven of the nine Miami players who saw the court scored double-digit points.

In addition, Bam Adebayo dominated the Thunder in the first matchup. The Miami All-Star had 21 points, eight rebounds and five assists against the Thunder. On defense, Adebayo showcased his ability to match up on big men and smaller guards alike, successfully contesting shots by Chris Paul and others.

Why the Thunder can cover 

Oklahoma City has much more motivation than Miami. The Thunder are still battling for playoff positioning in the Western Conference. They could finish as high as the No. 4 seed or as low as No. 6. Meanwhile, the Heat will be either the No. 4 or No. 5 seed in the East, which, with no home-court advantage in the bubble, gives Miami little, if any, incentive on Wednesday evening.

In addition, the Thunder have been one of the best defensive teams in the bubble. Since the NBA’s restart, Oklahoma City ranks second in defensive efficiency (106.0 points per 100 possessions). Plus, Oklahoma City has dominated Miami in its most recent meetings, winning seven of its last 10 matchups against the Heat. 

How to make Heat vs. Thunder picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under, with both the Heat and Thunder among the 10 slowest-paced teams in the NBA. The model also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Thunder vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Heat vs. Thunder spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $4,700 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.

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