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On Sunday, the New Orleans Pelicans and San Antonio Spurs will square off in what could be a pivotal matchup when it comes to the NBA playoff picture. Zion Williamson, Jrue Holiday and Brandon Ingram lead the way for the Pelicans, while the Spurs will lean on DeMar DeRozan and a plethora of young perimeter options. The Pelicans reported no injuries in advance of tip-off, while the Spurs will be without Bryn Forbes (quad) and Tyler Zeller (knee).

Tip-off is at 3 p.m. ET in Orlando. William Hill lists the Pelicans as three-point favorites, while the Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 238.5 in the latest Pelicans vs. Spurs odds. Before you make any Pelicans vs. Spurs picks and NBA predictions, see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it’s already returned well over $4,200 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 54-32 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $1,900 on those picks alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Spurs vs. Pelicans. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and trends for Pelicans vs. Spurs:

  • Pelicans vs. Spurs spread: Pelicans -3
  • Pelicans vs. Spurs over-under: 238.5 points
  • Pelicans vs. Spurs money line: Pelicans -150, Spurs +130
  • New Orleans: Pelicans are 5-3 against the spread in the last eight games
  • San Antonio: Spurs are 4-4 against the spread in the last eight games

Why the Pelicans can cover

New Orleans hasn’t played particularly well in Orlando, but for the full season, the Pelicans have been dynamic at full strength. In particular, the Pelicans are explosive with Zion Williamson on the floor, posting a 112.6 offensive rating and outscoring opponents by more than five points per 100 possessions. On the whole, New Orleans ranks in the top five in shooting efficiency and offensive rebounding this season, while the Spurs struggle mightily on the defensive end of the floor.

Why the Spurs can cover

The Spurs have benefited from a youth movement in Orlando, resulting in the presence of an explosive offense. DeMar DeRozan, averaging 22.0 points, 5.7 assists and 5.5 rebounds per game, still serves as the team’s engine, but San Antonio is scoring 1.17 points per possession in the NBA bubble thanks to an uptick in overall tempo and shooting efficiency.

In addition, the Spurs are the best team in the NBA in avoiding turnovers, with a top-eight mark in creating free throw attempts offensively. Against a struggling Pelicans defense, San Antonio should be able to generate efficient offense.

How to make Pelicans vs. Spurs picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, with Brandon Ingram and Drew Eubanks projected to fall short of their scoring averages. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see which side to back here.

So who wins Pelicans vs. Spurs, and which side of the spread cashes well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Pelicans vs. Spurs spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model on a 54-32 roll on NBA picks, and find out.

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