Latest Presidential polls 2016: Donald Trump wins with outsiders, Dems pick Clinton – Details

Updated: March 18, 2016
Latest Presidential polls 2016: Donald Trump wins with outsiders, Dems pick Clinton

Donald Trump won wide support in Florida across income and education levels, claiming the biggest prize of Tuesday night’s five Republican primary elections and ending the presidential hopes of Sen. Marco Rubio in his home state, according to early exit-poll results.

Trump’s attraction of Florida’s educated Republican voters notably broke from the trends seen in other states where Trump did better white, less educated voters.

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton beat Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders in Florida, North Carolina and Ohio, largely thanks to widespread support from black voters.

According to early results of exit polls conducted for The Associated Press and television networks by Edison Research, Clinton’s policies were seen as more realistic while voters in two states where Sanders was running strong found him more inspiring than former secretary of state.

Ohio Gov. John Kasich won his home state by drawing Republican voters looking for an experienced candidate. He also attracted more moderate Republicans and those who have college degrees.

Other highlights from the exit polls:


Early exit polls in Florida indicate Trump won about half of whites and nearly 3 in 10 Hispanics. He was also backed by most voters without a college degree, and about 4 in 10 of those with a college diploma.

Most GOP voters in Florida are looking for a political outsider and three-quarters voted for Trump. Four in 10 are angry with Washington and 6 in 10 of them prefer Trump.

Trump was backed by nearly two-thirds of those who would like to see illegal immigrants deported; those who want to give undocumented workers a chance to apply for legal status divided their votes closely between the two.

For Rubio, it was rough night across nearly all demographics.

Rubio was backed by voters looking for experience, by voters who are not so negative about politics and the government and by those opposed to denying Muslims entry into the country. Unfortunately for him, those voters made up a small portion of those who turned out.


Trump prevailed in North Carolina and Illinois with support from a familiar group of voters for him.

In those states, he earned the support of voters without college diplomas, those with lower incomes and people looking for a president from outside the political establishment.

And in North Carolina, the exit poll showed that Trump won a majority of veterans.


In Illinois, Missouri and Ohio, Clinton was supported by about two-thirds of black voters, similar to her level of support among black voters in Michigan last week, where her margin among the key group was not enough to propel her to victory.

In Florida and North Carolina about 8 in 10 black voters supported her, which is closer to her average margin in previous states. She also was supported by about 7 in 10 Hispanic voters in Florida.


In Ohio, Kasich was supported by three quarters of those looking for a president with political experience.

The governor also drew moderates and those identified as somewhat conservative. Kasich’s supporters were also more likely to be college graduates, while Trump was the favorite of those without a college degree.

Kasich was supported by about 6 in 10 voters saying they most want a candidate who shares their values. And most voters who feel like they’re getting ahead financially supported Kasich.

For Trump, he was drawing voters who feel like they’re falling behind financially and those who say they want a candidate who can bring change. About 8 in 10 of those wanting a candidate who “tells it like it is” also supported Trump.


About 4 in 10 Republicans in Illinois and Missouri decided on their vote choice in the last week, along with a third in Ohio. Nearly 3 in 10 Republicans in Florida and North Carolina primaries made their decision in the last week.

As seen in earlier primaries, voters who made up the minds close to the primary were less inclined to support Trump. Of the Republicans in Ohio who decided in the last week, more than half preferred Kasich.

Among Democrats about a quarter made their vote decision in the last week, except in Florida, where less than a fifth were late deciders. In Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina and Ohio, those who made up their mind in the last week backed Sanders.